realistically, how long can mortgage rates stay this low?

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Given that rates seem to be held at an artificial low, im wondering whether I should just give in now at 10% down or wait about 9 months to save to a 20% downpayment. does anyone have some foresight into what direction rates are headed for 2012?

5 months ago Rachel Fleury said:
 

The Federal Government said that they will ensure that rates stay low until the middle of 2013. But then again, the government says a lot of things. The housing market hasn’t hit bottom yet, despite what many think. Rates are really good right now and if you hold off for 9 months, you’ll most likely be looking at about the same rates as today.


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Let’s put it this way – if rates on an FHA are at 3.75% today and you are waiting on them to hit 3.00% —well the only thing that could drag them so low would be a catastrophic event in Europe or the US – if that happens a low mtg rate will be the least of your worries. I would move on something now www.johnmcclellan.com

Answered 5 months ago

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It’s unlikely rates can get much lower, even if the Fed steps in and does another round of MBS purchases. Only advantage of having the 20% down would be eliminating the PMI, but if your rate ends up ½ point higher in 9 months, what have you gained? The other aspects of buying now versus waiting would be property values in your area (still declining or stable?), and how motivated a buyer you are. Worst case scenario, if you were to buy with 10% down and rates went lower, you can always do a cash in refi, lose the PMI, and benefit from the lower rate. Unless there ends up being blood in the streets in Europe, can’t see rates significantly lower though….

Answered 5 months ago
Ted Rood
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